01Session map

Bars = session ranges. The overnight bar (Asia + London) marks the strongest draws; a session high or low taken out by a later session is not a level. Amber dotted = NY open; green dashed = prior NY close — magnets, not targets. Source: Yahoo ES=F 1-minute bars, Tue Oct 20, 2026, 6:31 AM PT.

02Today's plan

MIXED Mixed (below prior NY, inside overnight): level to level. Wait for price at the nearest level and react; holding below a level targets the next level down, holding above targets the next level up.

Level map

Only these five levels are targets. The overnight high and low (the outer edge of Asia + London) carry the most weight; inner session levels are still valid but a weaker draw. Prior NY close and NY open are magnets on the chart, not targets. Duplicates within ~1 pt are collapsed. Asia L 7,724.00 was taken out by London L; not a level.

Setups to watch

• Below prior NY low: No longs unless pNY.L 7,727.50 is reclaimed. If reclaimed and held, then London H 7,749.00.
• London high: If London H 7,749.00 gets a wick through that closes back under, or equal highs above, then short toward pNY.L 7,727.50. If it breaks and a retest holds, then long toward Asia H 7,752.75.
• Overnight-low sweep: If London L 7,704.50 (overnight low, strongest draw) is swept and reclaimed, then long toward London H 7,749.00 (passing prior NY low 7,727.50), then Asia H 7,752.75, the overnight high and strongest draw, or the high of day. If price breaks it and holds below, then open air (no mapped level). A break that retests London L 7,704.50 from below and holds is the short branch.

Touch types at any level: a near miss then reverse, an exact touch, or a sweep and reclaim.

Primary scenario: pNY.L 7,727.50

• At pNY.L 7,727.50: reject and reverse, break through and continue, or go sideways then one of those two.
• If price reaches pNY.L 7,727.50 and rejects, the next level is London H 7,749.00.
• If price breaks pNY.L 7,727.50 and holds, the next level is London L 7,704.50.
• Sideways at the level is acceptance — wait for the break or the rejection; price action away from a key level is noise.

Secondary scenario: London L 7,704.50

• At London L 7,704.50: reject and reverse, break through and continue, or go sideways then one of those two.
• If price reaches London L 7,704.50 and rejects, the next level is pNY.L 7,727.50.
• If price breaks London L 7,704.50 and holds, the next level is open air (no mapped level).
• Sideways at the level is acceptance — wait for the break or the rejection; price action away from a key level is noise.

Timing

• No trades before 7:00 AM PT.
• No high/medium-impact USD events left today.

Conditional plan from Mark's framework: if price reaches a key level and rejects or breaks, the next level is the target. Trade idea only — not an order, not certain, not advice.

03Rules reminder

• Patience: map the levels, wait for price to get there — then act. Price action away from a key level is noise.
• At a level, price rejects and reverses, breaks and continues, or goes sideways then does one of those two.
• Structure over candles. Entry 1 tick past the signal candle; stop ~3–6 pts past the pivot; exit fully at T1 (next level of structure).
• No trades before 7:00 AM PT. Inside both ranges (especially with news), wait for a range extreme.
• Execution of the plan > P&L. Erase the previous day — reset and come back fresh.

06Market context

• S&P 500 +0.42% (as of 6:04 AM PT).
• Utilities -2.01% (-2.44 versus SPY): Utilities were the worst sector, down 2%, as the 10-year Treasury yield rose to about 5.14%. etf.net, Reuters via Investing.com (Mon close)
• Real Estate -1.16% (-1.59 versus SPY): Real estate fell 1.2%, the second-weakest sector, as long-term yields rose. Reuters via Investing.com (Mon close), etf.net
• Cons. Discretionary +1.78% (+1.36 versus SPY): Consumer discretionary led (+1.8% to +2.7%) as Amazon rose 5% after Morgan Stanley named it a top pick and Tesla rose 3.8%; those two did nearly all of the lifting. Reuters via Investing.com (Mon close), etf.net
• Financials -0.83% (-1.25 versus SPY): Financials fell 0.8%; JPMorgan dropped 1.8%, the Dow’s worst performer. Investing.com (Mon close), etf.net
• Overnight: Asia mostly fell on AI-spending worries (Kospi −3.7% after Elice’s 32% IPO drop, Nikkei −1.3%, Hang Seng −1.3%; Shanghai +0.1%). Europe is lower for a second day (Stoxx 600 about −0.6%), with chip stocks ASML and ASMI down more than 3%. Yonhap Infomax, Bloomberg via Swissinfo, Reuters via Kitco
• Rates/FX/oil: 10-yr near 5.10–5.12%, down about 2 bp; dollar index down about 0.2% near 101.8; Brent above $111, a five-month high, and December WTI near $100.6 after Houthi attacks on Saudi energy sites. Bloomberg via Swissinfo, WSJ (oil), Proactive Investors
• Data: September housing starts 1.22M versus 1.30M expected (below forecast); permits 1.40M versus 1.39M (about in line). Low impact. Census Bureau, Reuters via Investing.com (housing)
• Fed: Quiet period through Oct 29; futures price about a 17% chance of a hike on Oct 28 and about 94% for at least one hike by December. CME FedWatch via FXBus
• Monday recap: S&P 500 +0.41% to 7,690.73 and Nasdaq +1.11%, Dow −0.07%; the gain leaned on Amazon and Tesla, while seven of 11 sectors fell and the equal-weight S&P 500 lost 0.3%. WSJ (Mon close), Reuters via Investing.com (Mon close), etf.net
• Earnings: GE Aerospace and GM beat but trade lower premarket; RTX is up. Netflix and SpaceX report after the close, Meta on Wednesday. CNBC premarket movers, Bloomberg via Swissinfo