01Session map

Bars = session ranges. The overnight bar (Asia + London) marks the strongest draws; a session high or low taken out by a later session is not a level. Amber dotted = NY open; green dashed = prior NY close — magnets, not targets. Source: Yahoo ES=F 1-minute bars, Mon Oct 19, 2026, 6:57 AM PT.

02Today's plan

INSIDE Inside both ranges: chop. Fade the extremes back into the range; no trade is fine.

Level map

Only these five levels are targets. The overnight high and low (the outer edge of Asia + London) carry the most weight; inner session levels are still valid but a weaker draw. Prior NY close and NY open are magnets on the chart, not targets. Duplicates within ~1 pt are collapsed.

Setups to watch

• London low: If London L 7,733.00 gets a wick through that closes back above, or equal lows below, then long toward London H 7,762.75. If it breaks and a retest holds from below, then short toward pNY.L = Asia L 7,676.00.
• London high: If London H 7,762.75 gets a wick through that closes back under, or equal highs above, then short toward London L 7,733.00. If it breaks and a retest holds, then long toward Asia H 7,768.50.
• Overnight-high break: If Asia H 7,768.50 (overnight high, strongest draw) breaks and holds, then pNY.H 7,803.25 (prior NY high). If the break fails back under, it becomes a fade toward London H 7,762.75, then London L 7,733.00, then pNY.L = Asia L 7,677.00, the overnight low and strongest draw.
• Chop fade (prior NY high): If pNY.H 7,803.25 is reached and rejects, then fade back into the range toward Asia H 7,768.50. If it breaks and holds, then open air (no mapped level).

Touch types at any level: a near miss then reverse, an exact touch, or a sweep and reclaim.

Primary scenario: London L 7,733.00

• At London L 7,733.00: reject and reverse, break through and continue, or go sideways then one of those two.
• If price reaches London L 7,733.00 and rejects, the next level is London H 7,762.75.
• If price breaks London L 7,733.00 and holds, the next level is pNY.L = Asia L 7,676.00.
• Sideways at the level is acceptance — wait for the break or the rejection; price action away from a key level is noise.

Secondary scenario: London H 7,762.75

• At London H 7,762.75: reject and reverse, break through and continue, or go sideways then one of those two.
• If price reaches London H 7,762.75 and rejects, the next level is London L 7,733.00.
• If price breaks London H 7,762.75 and holds, the next level is Asia H 7,768.50.
• Sideways at the level is acceptance — wait for the break or the rejection; price action away from a key level is noise.

Timing

• No trades before 7:00 AM PT.
• No high/medium-impact USD events left today.

Conditional plan from Mark's framework: if price reaches a key level and rejects or breaks, the next level is the target. Trade idea only — not an order, not certain, not advice.

03Rules reminder

• Patience: map the levels, wait for price to get there — then act. Price action away from a key level is noise.
• At a level, price rejects and reverses, breaks and continues, or goes sideways then does one of those two.
• Structure over candles. Entry 1 tick past the signal candle; stop ~3–6 pts past the pivot; exit fully at T1 (next level of structure).
• No trades before 7:00 AM PT. Inside both ranges (especially with news), wait for a range extreme.
• Execution of the plan > P&L. Erase the previous day — reset and come back fresh.

06Market context

• S&P 500 -1.11% (as of 6:13 AM PT).
• Energy +2.52% (+3.63 versus SPY): Energy led as WTI jumped 3.5% to settle at $101.41 on US-Iran tensions and attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz; Diamondback and Targa were top S&P gainers. CNBC (Fri close), Business Insider, Investing.com (Fri close)
• Utilities +1.34% (+2.45 versus SPY): Utilities were the second-best group, led by NiSource +3.4% and CMS Energy +2.6%. Energy Stock Channel
• Cons. Staples +1.08% (+2.19 versus SPY): Consumer staples rose; Coca-Cola +2.1% was among the Dow’s best performers. Investing.com (Fri close)
• Technology -3.02% (-1.92 versus SPY): Tech fell again on AI and chip worries, including competition from China; the semiconductor ETF SMH lost 3% Friday and 10% for the week, led by Micron, AMD and Sandisk. CNBC (Fri close), AP (Fri close)
• Overnight: Asia was mixed (Kospi +1.8% after a 3% lower open, Nikkei −0.6%, Shanghai +0.4% after China Q3 GDP grew 4.5% versus 4.4% expected; Hong Kong closed). Europe is lower (Stoxx 600 about −1.2%, CAC 40 about −1.7%) as weekend protests in France raised worries about its budget deficit. The Edge Asia wrap, Sharecast, Reuters via Euronext
• Rates/FX/oil: 10-yr near 5.08–5.11%, down about 2 bp per Reuters; dollar flat near 101.8; WTI near $101 and Brent near $108, both lower after Trump waived some Russia sanctions. Reuters via Euronext, Reuters via Investing.com
• Fed: Quiet period through Oct 29; futures price about a 17% chance of a hike on Oct 28. MarketWatch, Market Review
• Friday recap: S&P 500 −1.1% to 7,659.44 and Nasdaq −2.1%, worst week since late June; energy and utilities rose while tech and communication services fell. CNBC (Fri close), AP (Fri close)
• Earnings: Cleveland-Cliffs beat and is up about 10% premarket; Meta, Tesla, Lam Research and Texas Instruments report later this week. CNBC premarket movers, Reuters via Euronext