01Session map

Bars = session highs/lows (the only key levels). Amber dotted = NY open; green dashed = prior NY close — magnets, not targets. Source: Yahoo ES=F 1-minute bars, Wed Oct 14, 2026, 7:40 AM PT.

02Today's plan

MIXED Mixed (below prior NY, inside overnight) — treat as inside/choppy until a range extreme is taken and held.

Level map

Only these six levels are targets. Prior NY close and NY open are magnets on the chart, not targets. Duplicates within ~1 pt are collapsed.

Primary scenario: London L 7,821.25

• At London L 7,821.25: reject and reverse, break through and continue, or go sideways then one of those two.
• If price reaches London L 7,821.25 and rejects, the next level is pNY.L 7,834.50.
• If price breaks London L 7,821.25 and holds, the next level is open air (no mapped level).
• Sideways at the level is acceptance — wait for the break or the rejection; price action away from a key level is noise.

Secondary scenario: pNY.L 7,834.50

• At pNY.L 7,834.50: reject and reverse, break through and continue, or go sideways then one of those two.
• If price reaches pNY.L 7,834.50 and rejects, the next level is London L 7,821.25.
• If price breaks pNY.L 7,834.50 and holds, the next level is Asia L 7,848.75.
• Sideways at the level is acceptance — wait for the break or the rejection; price action away from a key level is noise.

Timing

• No trades before 7:00 AM PT.
• 5:30 AM PT — Core CPI m/m 0.3%, Core CPI y/y 2.6%, CPI m/m 0.6%, CPI y/y 3.7% (high impact, released)

Conditional plan from Mark's framework: if price reaches a key level and rejects or breaks, the next level is the target. Trade idea only — not an order, not certain, not advice.

03Rules reminder

• Patience: map the levels, wait for price to get there — then act. Price action away from a key level is noise.
• At a level, price rejects and reverses, breaks and continues, or goes sideways then does one of those two.
• Structure over candles. Entry 1 tick past the signal candle; stop ~3–6 pts past the pivot; exit fully at T1 (next level of structure).
• No trades before 7:00 AM PT. Inside both ranges (especially with news), wait for a range extreme.
• Execution of the plan > P&L. Erase the previous day — reset and come back fresh.

06Market context

• S&P 500 -0.64% (as of 7:25 AM PT).
• Health Care +1.78% (+2.42 versus SPY): UnitedHealth extended gains after Q3 showed lower-than-expected medical costs; biotech single-stock jumps (Liquidia settlement). market.news (UNH), Investing.com (LQDA)
• Cons. Staples +0.60% (+1.24 versus SPY): no specific cited catalyst.
• Energy +0.22% (+0.86 versus SPY): Crude up for a fifth day on Middle East supply worries. Bloomberg via swissinfo
• Overnight: Asia mostly firmer on a tech rebound (Nikkei +0.5%, Kospi back above 6,100); Europe up early (DAX +0.6%), ASML ~−3% after earnings. Newsquawk, AP markets
• Rates/FX/oil: 10-yr ~5.21% and DXY ~102.1 pre-CPI; WTI ~$95 (+1.2%, fifth gain). Samuel & Co, Bloomberg via swissinfo
• Earnings: Morgan Stanley beat on equities trading; BofA took a $1.2B settlement charge. Investing.com (MS), BAC 8-K